Energy price cap to edge up as temperatures plunge

​Regulator Ofgem says a change in the price cap in January means a 0.2% increase in gas and electricity prices. 

Energy price cap to edge up as temperatures plunge

Just now
Kevin PeacheyCost of living correspondent
Getty Images Man walks on a road partially cleared of snow, with a covering of snow on trees in the foreground and a barn and fields in the backgroundGetty Images

Millions of households will see a slight rise in gas and electricity prices at the height of winter, after regulator Ofgem outlined its next price cap.

The 0.2% increase from the current cap will take effect at the start of January, and affect those on variable tariffs in England, Wales and Scotland.

However, prices will be slightly lower than the same period the previous year.

Gas and electricity bills remain relatively high, and the sudden drop in temperature has brought the costs to the forefront of people's minds.

“While wholesale energy costs are stabilising, they still make up the largest portion of our bills which leaves us open to volatile prices,” said Tim Jarvis, from Ofgem.

But Dame Clare Moriarty, from Citizens Advice, said: “With bills still drastically higher than before the energy crisis, and due to rise again from April, it's high time for decisions about the longer term.”

A bar chart showing the energy price cap for a typical household on a price-capped, dual-fuel tariff paying by direct debit, from January 2022 to January 2026. The figure was £1,216 based on typical usage in January 2022. This rose to a high of £4,059 in January 2023, although the Energy Price Guarantee limited bills to £2,380 for a typical household between October 2022 and June 2023. Bills dropped £1,568 in July 2024, before rising slightly to £1,717 in October, £1,738 in January 2025, £1,849 a year from April, £1,720 from July, and £1,755 from October. From January 2026, the figure will be £1,758.

The cap sets the maximum price that can be charged for each unit of gas and electricity, not the total bill – so those who use more energy, pay more.

The Ofgem cap is illustrated with a household using a “typical” amount of 11,500 kWh of gas and 2,700 kWh of electricity a year with a single bill for gas and electricity, settled by direct debit.

This illustrative household would see a £3 rise in its annual bill from £1,755 to £1,758.

However, the amount used varies significantly between households, so the best way to calculate the change is to work out the percentage change from your own usual annual bill.

Debt worries

Charities say they are seeing people owing increasing levels of unpaid bills and charges to suppliers.

The total amount owed has reached a record £4.4bn, prompting plans from Ofgem to ensure energy companies write off some of that debt.

Up to £500m could be knocked off the total under plans that the regulator wants to take effect early next year.

Dhara Vyas, chief executive of Energy UK, which represents suppliers, said anyone facing difficulties paying should contact their energy provider as soon as possible.

“We know that far too many people are struggling to pay for the energy they need to use,” she said.

But she added that suppliers could help with efficient appliances, tailoring the tariff to customers' needs or ensuring people were on the correct benefits.

The government has hinted at extra cost-of-living support in the Budget on 26 November.

One option said to be under consideration is removing VAT from energy bills, which would cut approximately £80 from annual bills.

Energy Minister Martin McCluskey said: “We know that energy bills remain too high. That is why we are taking immediate action, with millions more families receiving £150 off their bills through the expanded Warm Home Discount scheme this winter.”

However, analysts say the main driver of energy bills is shifting from sky-high wholesale prices to the cost of overhauling and maintaining the country's energy networks.

In the meantime, as the cold weather sets in, various tips are available to keep people warm while controlling costs, including clothing, insulation and heating rooms people are in rather than the whole home.

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